Art & Science of Active Trend Trading-Free Report- Nov 22

Good Day Traders,

Overview & Highlights: I hope all Active Trend Trading and Early Warning Alert members have a great Thanksgiving this Thursday! Even in what seems to be a pretty mixed up world finding what we can be thankful for is key to our hope and solace. So I want to send blessings to each and every member as we move into the Holiday Season!

For those who have been following ATTS for a while you know that the monthly performance has improved significantly since we got back to trading our rules based on the 8 day EMA. This happened in September and for the past 2.5 months we have been on a clip that compounds out to about 40% per year. Closed trades for the past 2.5 months have averaged over $3000 per month. With a focus on Portfolio Management in Strategy I going forward I look forward to further clarification and simplification as we hone in on Wealth Building moving into 2016.

Holiday trading kicks off this week. Markets will be closed on Thanksgiving Day and will close at 10 a.m. PDT on Friday for Black Friday.

The Website performance page was updated and shows current information. Additionally a new video updating the performance to date of the Early Warning Alert System was recorded and is available at: http://activetrendtrading.com/early-warning-alerts-2/


Webinars: At Active Trend Trading we offer two webinars per week to provide training plus trade and market updates. See the schedule below for the next webinars.

How to Make Money Trading Stocks on December 4th

Register Here: Back on December 4, 2015

Next Training Webinar: Dec 2nd

For Premium Members our Wednesday evening training is developing some fantastic traders!

Mid-Week Market Sanity Check Topic: Your Plan—Is it working?

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Managing Existing Trades:  For Premium and Early Warning Alert Members covering how current trades are being managed.

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Pre-Earnings Trade: Highlighted stocks with potential pre-earnings price increase of between 5-15% before earnings.

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Potential Set Ups for this week:   For Premium Members highlighting stocks for potential moves up or down, plus a On the Radar section for stocks basing for a move.

The Early Warning Alert Service has hit all seven major market trading points this year. See this brief update video for more details: Early Warning Alerts Update Video or at https://youtu.be/aVE9zqbG4MQ

If simplifying your life by trading along with us using the index ETF is of interest you can get the full background video at: http://activetrendtrading.com/etf-early-warning-alerts-video/


General Market Observation: Each of the three Tracking Indexes spent most of the week in rebound mode from the sell-off the previous week. We are still faced with the divergence between weighted and non-weighted indexes. The non-weighted indexes like the Russell and NYSE are lagging the other indexes which can be interpreted that underneath the hood weakness in lurking. Holiday weeks tend to have a bullish bias due to institutional traders getting out of town early before the holiday. We shall see if this holds during this week.

Remember that Black Frida is a shortened trading day so if you have a timed trade to close at the close on Friday set that for before 10 a.m. PDT!

SPX: The S&P showed two strong days, two rest days and an indecisive day on Friday. Price have rebounded back towards the resistance zone that starts at the 2100 level. The signals were mixed between the daily and weekly charts with Momentum looking strong on the weekly chart and looking weak on the daily chart. When this happens it is usually a clue that something is going on but the something hasn’t revealed itself, yet.

My play on each of the Tracking Indexes is to use the 8 day EMA as a line of demarcation for planning trades. If we are in a Santa Claus rally through the end of the year there may be some profit to be picked up prior to the 1st of January.

Preferred ETF’s: SPY, UPRO and SPXL

NDX: On the NASDAQ 100 watch for support around the 4600 level. This week’s action engulfed the negative candle from the previous week but is not considered a Bullish Engulfing reversal pattern because it’s not located at the end of a downtrend. Price finished just below the previous breakout level of 4694 as Friday’s action lacked the oomph to push through this resistance. Look to trade the either QQQ or TQQQ based on pullbacks towards the 8 day EMA or mid-section of last week’s candle.

Preferred ETF’s: QQQ and TQQQ

RUT: The Russell remains the Index with the most significant potential to move either up, down or do nothing. Typically the RUT can be counted on for bigger moves than the other indexes. This has not been the case this year. The index is under tension which may result in a breakout in either direction. If the other two indexes start falling apart then the Russell may accelerate more quickly to the downside. On the other hand if small cap investors ignore the potential upcoming rate hike, this index could kick it gear for a big run. Right now the only obvious clue is the spring is tightening.

Preferred ETF’s: IWM and TNA

RUT 11-20

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The Early Warning Alert Service has hit all seven major market trading point this year. See the updated video at: http://activetrendtrading.com/early-warning-alerts-2/

If simplifying your life by trading along with us using the index ETF is of interest you can get the full background video at: http://activetrendtrading.com/etf-early-warning-alerts-video/

The How to Make Money Trading Stock Show—Free Webinar every Friday at 10 a.m. PDT. This weekly live and recorded webinar helped traders find great stocks and ETF’s to trade with excellent timing and helped them stay out of the market during times of weakness.

The “How to Make Money Trading Stocks” Show Dec 4th

Register Here: No Webinar this week.

To get notifications of the newly recorded and posted How to Make Money Trading Stocks every week subscribe at the Market Tech Talk Channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCLK-GdCSCGTo5IN2hvuDP0w

The Active Trend Trader Referral Affiliate Program is ready. For more information or to become an Affiliate please register here: http://activetrendtrading.com/affiliates-sign-up-and-login/

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Index Returns YTD 2015

Index YTD 11-20

ATTS Returns for 2015 through Nov 20, 2015

48.7% Invested

Margin Account = +12.4% (Includes profit in open positions)

Early Warning Alerts = 10.8% partial positions; 19.4% full positions

Active Trend Trading’s Yearly Objectives:

    • Yearly Return of 40%
    • 60% Winning Trades
    • Early Warning Alert Target Yearly Return = 15% or better

For a complete view of specific trades closed visit the website at: http://activetrendtrading.com/current-positions/

Updated first full week of each month.


Outs & Ins: No new stocks were added to the IBD 50 this week. But there was a wholesale swap out of stocks from the 2015 Running List. 30% of the stocks played musical chairs in this week’s list. Remember the IBD 50, while a solid place to find strong growth stocks, is just a computer generated list that sorts stocks by IBD criteria. A stock can fall off the IBD 50 list and still be a strong growth stock. This is one of the reason why I track the yearly Running List. Often these stocks will show signs of life prior to coming back on the IBD 50 list.

In-Out 11-22

 

Share Your Success: Many of you have sent me notes regarding the success you are having with the Active Trend Trading System. Please send your stories to me at dww@activetrendtrading.com or leave a post on the website. Thanks.

 

 

 

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